Encouraging signs point investors away from expecting the worst after BTC/USD reaches multi-day highs without significant retracement.
Bitcoin (BTC) hit multi-day highs of $58,300 overnight into Nov. 25 with investors betting on the reduced likelihood of a further major price dip.
BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Source: TradingView
This, trader and analyst Rekt Capital believes, shows support “solidifying” at current levels, with hope, therefore, remaining of a more convincing trend reversal.
“Bitcoin has certainly solidified its support here, producing a long downside wick into the bottom of the black wedging structure and rebounding strongly,” he told Twitter followers.
“Also, today’s candlestick is forming a Higher Low relative to yesterday’s Daily candle.”
BTC/USD 1-day annotated candle chart (Coinbase). Source: Rekt Capital/Twitter
The mood was shared by crypto trading firm QCP Capital, which, on Wednesday, summarized the likely short-term outcomes.
“So far, the selling pressure has effectively capped every rally. The question is whether it will lead to a downside break,” it wrote in a market update to Telegram channel subscribers.
“We are betting that the market will consolidate instead of breaking lower.”
As Cointelegraph reported, mixed signals played out from exchanges over selling pressure this week, with large inflows and outflows marking a highly active market.
Nonetheless, volatility remains at its lowest in over half a year, reinforcing relatively stable price conditions.
Bitcoin volatility chart. Source: Buy Bitcoin Worldwide
Limp altcoins led by Solana support retest
Out of the top 10 cryptocurrencies by market capitalization, Binance Coin (BNB) thus became the sole standout, up 8% week over week.
Other tokens were flat or saw minor losses, led by Solana (SOL), which dove nearly 7% on the day to near $200.
SOL/USD 1-hour candle chart (FTX). Source: TradingView
For fellow trader and analyst Pentoshi, macro factors could yet cause a more definitive stalling of the crypto bull run.
“The most hilarious ending to a crypto bull market would be double digit inflation and people not understanding why that can be bearish for risk on assets,“ he commented in a Twitter thread originally begun on Nov. 16.
“The very thing people cheering on at the expense of others Can be the very thing that ends this cycle.”
On Thursday, he reiterated the potential for a deflationary spell to emerge in 2022.